Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.221726 1.381972 1.557473 1.764294 2.001802 2.266528 2.584657
2024-12-22 0.958852 1.170126 1.421583 1.744389 2.149881 2.645085 3.299799
2024-12-29 0.829545 1.064336 1.359665 1.761297 2.297684 2.995526 3.982239
2025-01-05 0.722854 0.965192 1.283799 1.737761 2.375125 3.248751 4.555218
2025-01-12 0.645334 0.891551 1.227772 1.726542 2.458029 3.507757 5.157739
2025-01-19 0.563405 0.801033 1.136103 1.650530 2.433735 3.603158 5.522868
2025-01-26 0.524792 0.767078 1.119482 1.678916 2.562443 3.934321 6.285832
2025-02-02 0.492905 0.739071 1.107531 1.710915 2.697093 4.285846 7.123119
2025-02-09 0.460619 0.706884 1.085269 1.722849 2.798454 4.591678 7.919542
2025-02-16 0.431504 0.676648 1.062616 1.730604 2.891644 4.891174 8.740496
2025-02-23 0.410761 0.657709 1.055826 1.763040 3.028727 5.279332 9.772521
2025-03-02 0.379623 0.618961 1.012834 1.728636 3.043004 5.447106 10.404413
2025-03-09 0.364238 0.605846 1.012594 1.770716 3.203194 5.907540 11.690958
2025-03-16 0.339468 0.574681 0.978714 1.748888 3.241816 6.141506 12.550405
2025-03-23 0.323283 0.557066 0.966867 1.766010 3.355882 6.534823 13.803059
2025-03-30 0.302628 0.529795 0.935295 1.742391 3.386208 6.760740 14.718535
2025-04-06 0.285574 0.507731 0.911394 1.731140 3.439819 7.040257 15.796587
2025-04-13 0.261526 0.470984 0.857240 1.654905 3.350123 7.001517 16.116404
2025-04-20 0.252600 0.461984 0.855040 1.683374 3.485684 7.473022 17.749617
2025-04-27 0.244694 0.454311 0.854711 1.715467 3.632228 7.986525 19.571422
2025-05-04 0.235046 0.442534 0.845326 1.727435 3.734837 8.410015 21.228466
2025-05-11 0.225620 0.430516 0.834506 1.735214 3.828462 8.823054 22.926040
2025-05-18 0.219315 0.424297 0.834987 1.767745 3.983307 9.404963 25.193551